New poll shows majority backing for Scottish independence

Supporters at a Yes campaign rally outside the Glasgow Concert Hall ahead of the last Scottish independence referendum in September 2014.  Picture: Lynne Cameron/PA Wire
Supporters at a Yes campaign rally outside the Glasgow Concert Hall ahead of the last Scottish independence referendum in September 2014. Picture: Lynne Cameron/PA Wire

A majority of Scots would vote to leave the UK if a second referendum on Scottish independence was held tomorrow, a new poll suggests.

The Ipsos Mori survey of 1,002 people for STV found that 53% of respondents would back Yes in another vote, compared to 44% who would support the union and 3% who were undecided.

The survey carried out last week comes almost a year after Scotland rejected independence by a margin of 55% to 45% on September 18.

A vote for an independent Scotland could have serious implications for the people and businesses in Northumberland,

It is thought to be the first poll to show a majority for Yes among all those questioned.

Previous polls in the run-up to the vote that showed a majority for independence excluded those who were undecided.

Half of those questioned for STV said they would like to see another referendum within five years while 58% said they would be in favour of having one in the next 10 years.

Support for the SNP continues to be high in the wake of the party’s landslide general election victory north of the border, winning 56 of Scotland’s 59 seats.

The poll found that 55% of those who gave a voting intention would back the Nationalists in the Scottish Parliament constituency vote if the elections set for next year were held tomorrow.

About a fifth (21%) would vote Labour, with support for the Tories at 12%, Liberal Democrats at 7% and Greens at 3%.

In the list vote, SNP support fell to 50% and backing for the Greens rose to 8%, with the preferences for the other parties remaining the same.

Opinion on the recent election of Kezia Dugdale as Scottish Labour leader was split, with 20% saying it made them more likely to back her party, compared to 23% who said it would put them off.

Almost a quarter (23%) said that the election of UK leadership contest frontrunner Jeremy Corbyn would make them more likely to vote Labour, but 34% said such an outcome would make them less likely to vote for the party.

The contrast in satisfaction with the performances of Nicola Surgeon and David Cameron was stark.

Almost three-quarters (71%) said they approve of the way the First Minister is doing her job, compared to only 28% for the Prime Minister.

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